How hurricane risk is being priced, today, by the people who have to pay for it — translated for people who don't speak insurance. Updated throughout the day during hurricane season.
Active storms & outlook
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Landfall probability
NHC 5-day cumulative probability that sustained winds reach the selected threshold at each shaded location within 120 hours.
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Companies on the line
Public US-listed companies with material Atlantic / Gulf hurricane exposure. Quote data via Yahoo Finance, ~15-minute delayed.
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Hurricane risk capital
Two public proxies for where hurricane-risk capital is priced today — the cat bond market and listed P&C insurers. The institutional Swiss Re cat bond index sits behind a Bloomberg subscription; these ETFs move with the same underlying markets.
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Historical analogs
Past Atlantic hurricanes that landed in similar places. With an active forecast, the closest landfalls to today's cone come up first; off-season, the most-recent storms.
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What changed today
Day-over-day shifts worth noticing — storm intensity changes, biggest equity movers, cat bond proxy. Quiet days collapse to a single line.
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